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Morgan)

2026-07-09·ima-daily5min-0709-05-c6e7a0c781
Street Signal | Morgan)

J.P. Morgan released a roadmap for the commercialization of China’s large AI models with open weights, believing that the competitive landscape is showing a “winner takes all” trend.

The report emphasizes that the market is shifting from a "technology competition" to a "commercial realization" stage, and companies that can take the lead in achieving large-scale revenue will receive a premium. One sentence conclusion: The investment logic of China's AI model layer has shifted to commercial implementation, and the "head effect" is obvious.

Zhipu AI, which has stronger B-side monetization capabilities, has a higher probability of winning, while MiniMax faces greater uncertainty. Tip: The market’s expectations for Zhipu AI’s revenue and profit timing may still be conservative.

MiniMax's current valuation may have partially reflected its commercialization challenges, but the risk of wider losses remains. Catalyst: API pricing: Track the changes in API call prices of leading model manufacturers, which directly reflects the intensity of market competition.

Customer Acquisition: Zhipu AI’s expansion speed and benchmark cases in B-side enterprise customers. Next round of financing: MiniMax financing progress and valuation changes. Original text: J.P.

Full text

Morgan)

J.P.

J.P. Morgan released a roadmap for the commercialization of China’s large AI models with open weights, believing that the competitive landscape is showing a “winner takes all” trend. The report emphasizes that the market is shifting from a "technology competition" to a "commercial realization" stage, and companies that can take the lead in achieving large-scale revenue will receive a premium. One sentence conclusion: The investment logic of China's AI model layer has shifted to commercial implementation, and the "head effect" is obvious. Zhipu AI, which has stronger B-side monetization capabilities, has a higher probability of winning, while MiniMax faces greater uncertainty. Tip: The market’s expectations for Zhipu AI’s revenue and profit timing may still be conservative. MiniMax's current valuation may have partially reflected its commercialization challenges, but the risk of wider losses remains. Catalyst: API pricing: Track the changes in API call prices of leading model manufacturers, which directly reflects the intensity of market competition. Customer Acquisition: Zhipu AI’s expansion speed and benchmark cases in B-side enterprise customers. Next round of financing: MiniMax financing progress and valuation changes. Original text: J.P.

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