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Kimi K3 is released, the gap between China's AI and the United States has narrowed to 3-4 months, and the butterfly effect is good for Alibaba and Tencent (Bernstein)

2026-07-18·ima-daily5min-0718-06-04947316ce
Street Signal | Kimi K3 is released, the gap between China's AI and the United States has narrowed to 3-4 months, and the butterfly effect is good for Alibaba and Tencent (Bernstein)

The core of the Bernstein report pointed out that Kimi (Dark Side of the Moon) released the K3 model with a total parameter of 2.8 trillion, performance close to Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6, and pricing that is 40%-70% lower than similar overseas products.

This marks that the gap between China's AI and the United States' cutting-edge level has narrowed to 3-4 months, and Kimi has become the leader of China's AI laboratories. This incident indirectly benefits its investors Alibaba (BABA.US/9988.HK) and Tencent (0700.HK), and brings potential revenue increases to Alibaba Cloud.

The market has already expected China's AI to "catch up", but the performance of the K3 model and the speed of narrowing the gap may exceed most people's expectations. One-sentence conclusion: The release of Kimi K3 is a milestone event for China's AI.

Its global competitiveness has been greatly improved and will bring a significant valuation boost to leading domestic technology companies including Alibaba and Tencent. Good/bad: Good for core investors in the AI track such as Alibaba (BABA.US/9988.HK) and Tencent (0700.HK).

The market's assessment of China's AI model capabilities may lag behind, and K3's breakthrough progress has not yet been fully priced. Catalysts:

1) Kimi K3’s API call volume and developer ecosystem data;

2) AI-related new releases at Alibaba Computing Conference;

3) Performance of next-generation domestic models such as Z.ai.

Full text

Kimi K3 is released, the gap between China's AI and the United States has narrowed to 3-4 months, and the butterfly effect is good for Alibaba and Tencent (Bernstein)

The core of the Bernstein report pointed out that Kimi (Dark Side of the Moon) released the K3 model with a total parameter of 2.8 trillion, performance close to Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6, and pricing that is 40%-70% lower than similar overseas products.

The core of the Bernstein report pointed out that Kimi (Dark Side of the Moon) released the K3 model with a total parameter of 2.8 trillion, performance close to Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6, and pricing that is 40%-70% lower than similar overseas products. This marks that the gap between China's AI and the United States' cutting-edge level has narrowed to 3-4 months, and Kimi has become the leader of China's AI laboratories. This incident indirectly benefits its investors Alibaba (BABA.US/9988.HK) and Tencent (0700.HK), and brings potential revenue increases to Alibaba Cloud. The market has already expected China's AI to "catch up", but the performance of the K3 model and the speed of narrowing the gap may exceed most people's expectations. One-sentence conclusion: The release of Kimi K3 is a milestone event for China's AI. Its global competitiveness has been greatly improved and will bring a significant valuation boost to leading domestic technology companies including Alibaba and Tencent. Good/bad: Good for core investors in the AI track such as Alibaba (BABA.US/9988.HK) and Tencent (0700.HK). The market's assessment of China's AI model capabilities may lag behind, and K3's breakthrough progress has not yet been fully priced. Catalysts: 1) Kimi K3’s API call volume and developer ecosystem data; 2) AI-related new releases at Alibaba Computing Conference; 3) Performance of next-generation domestic models such as Z.ai.

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