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ASML market-structure snapshot

2026-07-27·stock-deep-dive-20260727-slot-18-1515-asml
$ASML: multi-source stock research

ASML HOLDING NV

MARKET STRUCTURE

Latest close on July 27, 2026: $1,654.16 (-5.9% on the latest daily bar).

HMA21 / HMA55: $1,760.95 / $1,814.83. 200DMA: $1,379.45.

Relative volume: 1.34x the 20-day average.

Nearest support/watch zone: $1,638.38.

Nearest resistance/watch zone: $1,746.70.

Price is above the 200DMA, so the long-term trend reference is supportive.

FUNDAMENTALS AND VALUATION

Latest comparable filing period: latest period.

Valuation snapshot: trailing P/E 57.1x; forward P/E 28.6x; EV/EBITDA 2779.3x; P/S 18.0x.

Read-through:
• forward P/E is materially below trailing P/E, implying higher expected earnings

RECENT INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH

• 2026-07-24 — Intel's capital expenditure increases, ASML and ASMI usher in deterministic benefits (Morgan Stanley)

Intel has raised its 2026 capital expenditure outlook to over US$20 billion due to strong demand, and is focusing on investment in advanced process equipment. It expects equipment expenditure to increase by 40% year-on-year that year, and will rise significantly the following year.

ASML and ASMI, as core equipment suppliers accounting for more than 10% of Intel's history, will benefit significantly.

• 2026-07-16 — The average price of DRAM in Q3 will rise more than expected, and the upward cycle of the storage industry is confirmed. Pay attention to the guidance of… (BofA)

The Bank of America report predicts that Q3 DRAM average selling price (ASP) will increase by 21% month-on-month, higher than TrendForce's forecast of 13-18%, with server DRAM increasing by 20-30%. DRAM spot prices have risen for eight consecutive weeks, and NAND prices have also recovered well. Q3 NAND ASP is expected to increase by more than 10%.

BOTTOM LINE

The technical structure is mixed.

WHAT TO WATCH

• A reclaim of HMA21 near $1,760.95 would be the first meaningful stabilization signal.
• A close below the nearby support zone around $1,638.38 would weaken the setup.
• Whether the operating milestones identified in recent institutional research become measurable disclosures.

Research and technical observation only; not a trade recommendation.

#Stocks #Fundamentals #TechnicalAnalysis #ASML

Charts

ASML chart 1
ASML chart 1

Full text

ASML market-structure snapshot

Latest close on July 27, 2026: $1,654.16 (-5.9% on the latest daily bar). HMA21 / HMA55: $1,760.95 / $1,814.83. 200DMA: $1,379.45. Relative volume: 1.34x the 20-day average.

Latest close on July 27, 2026: $1,654.16 (-5.9% on the latest daily bar). HMA21 / HMA55: $1,760.95 / $1,814.83. 200DMA: $1,379.45. Relative volume: 1.34x the 20-day average.

ASML latest SEC/Yahoo fundamental and valuation snapshot

Latest comparable filing period: latest period. Valuation snapshot: trailing P/E 57.1x; forward P/E 28.6x; EV/EBITDA 2779.3x; P/S 18.0x.

Latest comparable filing period: latest period.
Valuation snapshot: trailing P/E 57.1x; forward P/E 28.6x; EV/EBITDA 2779.3x; P/S 18.0x.
forward P/E is materially below trailing P/E, implying higher expected earnings

Intel's capital expenditure increases, ASML and ASMI usher in deterministic benefits (Morgan Stanley)

Intel has raised its 2026 capital expenditure outlook to over US$20 billion due to strong demand, and is focusing on investment in advanced process equipment. It expects equipment expenditure to increase by 40% year-on-year that year, and will rise significantly the following year. ASML and ASMI, as core equipment suppliers accounting for more than 10% of Intel's history, will benefit significantly.

Intel has raised its 2026 capital expenditure outlook to over US$20 billion due to strong demand, and is focusing on investment in advanced process equipment. It expects equipment expenditure to increase by 40% year-on-year that year, and will rise significantly the following year. ASML and ASMI, as core equipment suppliers accounting for more than 10% of Intel's history, will benefit significantly.

The average price of DRAM in Q3 will rise more than expected, and the upward cycle of the storage industry is confirmed. Pay attention to the guidance of… (BofA)

The Bank of America report predicts that Q3 DRAM average selling price (ASP) will increase by 21% month-on-month, higher than TrendForce's forecast of 13-18%, with server DRAM increasing by 20-30%. DRAM spot prices have risen for eight consecutive weeks, and NAND prices have also recovered well. Q3 NAND ASP is expected to increase by more than 10%.

The Bank of America report predicts that Q3 DRAM average selling price (ASP) will increase by 21% month-on-month, higher than TrendForce's forecast of 13-18%, with server DRAM increasing by 20-30%. DRAM spot prices have risen for eight consecutive weeks, and NAND prices have also recovered well. Q3 NAND ASP is expected to increase by more than 10%.

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