ORLY V3 technical snapshot
price=88.96499633789062 hma21=89.81322059400154 hma55=86.7347882571863 sma200=93.1136247253418
price=88.96499633789062 hma21=89.81322059400154 hma55=86.7347882571863 sma200=93.1136247253418
stock_deep_dive
ORLY V3 technical snapshot
$ORLY: evidence-based stock deep dive
O Reilly Automotive Inc
CORE QUESTION
Can O Reilly Automotive Inc sustain growth and operating leverage strongly enough to support current expectations? Sector-specific lens: Are consumers sustaining demand without heavier promotional pressure?
DATA AGE WARNING
Core SEC filing was submitted on 2026-05-08 and is 84 days old (aging).
WHAT CHANGED
• Inventory year-over-year growth changed by -0.1 percentage points from the preceding reported quarter.
• Current lease liability year-over-year growth changed by -0.2 percentage points from the preceding reported quarter.
OPERATING EVIDENCE
• Revenue: $4.56B in Q1 2026; +10.2% YoY.
• Net income: $604.18M in Q1 2026; +12.2% YoY.
• Diluted EPS: $0.72 in Q1 2026; +16.1% YoY.
• Inventory: $5.81B in Q1 2026 period end; +12.3% YoY.
• Gross profit: $2.35B in Q1 2026; +10.6% YoY.
• Operating income: $841.61M in Q1 2026; +13.5% YoY.
• Current lease liability: $445.42M in Q1 2026 period end; +4.7% YoY.
EXPECTATIONS AND VALUATION
• trailing P/E 28.2x; forward P/E 24.4x; EV/EBITDA 19.3x; P/S 3.9x.
• Next-year Yahoo consensus snapshot for period ending 2027-12-31: EPS estimate $3.63 (21 analysts); revenue estimate $20.24B (25 analysts).
OFFICIAL COMPANY EVIDENCE
• 2026-07-29 — [SEC EXHIBIT 99.1] O Reilly Automotive Inc filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release; reporting basis: mixed_reconciled.
• 2026-04-29 — [SEC EXHIBIT 99.1] O Reilly Automotive Inc filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release; reporting basis: mixed_reconciled.
• 2026-05-08 — [SEC FILING NOTICE] O Reilly Automotive Inc filed a 10-Q with the SEC.
MARKET STRUCTURE
• Latest price $88.96; HMA21 $89.81; HMA55 $86.73; 200DMA $93.11.
EVIDENCE FOR
• Revenue changed +10.2% year over year in the latest comparable period.
• Net income changed +12.2% year over year, confirming the quality of the latest revenue trend.
• Forward P/E of 24.4x is below trailing P/E of 28.2x, implying expected earnings improvement.
• Gross profit was 2,347,211,000 in Q1 2026, +10.6% year over year.
• Operating income was 841,608,000 in Q1 2026, +13.5% year over year.
• Official operating disclosure: We remain committed to taking market share by providing unsurpassed levels of service to our customers, supported by best-in-class parts
availability.” Sales for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, increased $367 million, or 8%, to $4.89 billion from $4.53 billion for the same period one year ago.
• Official operating disclosure: We look forward to the opportunities we have to grow our market share in 2026 and are encouraged by the stable demand backdrop in our
industry.” Sales for the first quarter of 2026 increased $424 million, or 10%, to $4.56 billion from $4.14 billion for the same period one year ago.
EVIDENCE AGAINST
• Price is above one of the three HMA21, HMA55 and 200DMA trend references.
BOTTOM LINE
The evidence is mixed rather than one-directional.
Official operating disclosure: We remain committed to taking market share by providing unsurpassed levels of service to our customers, supported by best-in-class parts availability.” Sales for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, increased $367 million, or 8%, to $4.89 billion from $4.53 billion for the same period one year ago.
A key counterpoint: Price is above one of the three HMA21, HMA55 and 200DMA trend references. The thesis should be updated only when the measurable watch conditions change.
WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE VIEW
• Check whether the next filing confirms the direction of inventory after Q1 2026 period end.
• Check whether the next filing confirms the direction of gross profit after Q1 2026.
• A daily close below the nearest support cluster around $88.17 would weaken the price structure.
• A sustained reclaim of the nearest overhead trend reference around $89.81 would be an initial stabilization signal.
PUBLIC SOURCES
• ORLY latest comparable SEC filing (2026-05-08): https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000898173.json
• O Reilly Automotive Inc filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release (2026-07-29):
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/898173/000089817326000042/orly-20260729xex99d1.htm
• O Reilly Automotive Inc filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release (2026-04-29):
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/898173/000089817326000024/orly-20260429xex99d1.htm
• O Reilly Automotive Inc filed a 10-Q with the SEC (2026-05-08): https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/898173/000089817326000027/0000898173-26-000027-index.htm
#Stocks #Fundamentals #TechnicalAnalysis #ORLY
O Reilly Automotive Inc
CORE QUESTION
Can O Reilly Automotive Inc sustain growth and operating leverage strongly enough to support current expectations? Sector-specific lens: Are consumers sustaining demand without heavier promotional pressure?
DATA AGE WARNING
Core SEC filing was submitted on 2026-05-08 and is 84 days old (aging).
WHAT CHANGED
• Inventory year-over-year growth changed by -0.1 percentage points from the preceding reported quarter.
• Current lease liability year-over-year growth changed by -0.2 percentage points from the preceding reported quarter.
OPERATING EVIDENCE
• Revenue: $4.56B in Q1 2026; +10.2% YoY.
• Net income: $604.18M in Q1 2026; +12.2% YoY.
• Diluted EPS: $0.72 in Q1 2026; +16.1% YoY.
• Inventory: $5.81B in Q1 2026 period end; +12.3% YoY.
• Gross profit: $2.35B in Q1 2026; +10.6% YoY.
• Operating income: $841.61M in Q1 2026; +13.5% YoY.
• Current lease liability: $445.42M in Q1 2026 period end; +4.7% YoY.
EXPECTATIONS AND VALUATION
• trailing P/E 28.2x; forward P/E 24.4x; EV/EBITDA 19.3x; P/S 3.9x.
• Next-year Yahoo consensus snapshot for period ending 2027-12-31: EPS estimate $3.63 (21 analysts); revenue estimate $20.24B (25 analysts).
OFFICIAL COMPANY EVIDENCE
• 2026-07-29 — [SEC EXHIBIT 99.1] O Reilly Automotive Inc filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release; reporting basis: mixed_reconciled.
• 2026-04-29 — [SEC EXHIBIT 99.1] O Reilly Automotive Inc filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release; reporting basis: mixed_reconciled.
• 2026-05-08 — [SEC FILING NOTICE] O Reilly Automotive Inc filed a 10-Q with the SEC.
MARKET STRUCTURE
• Latest price $88.96; HMA21 $89.81; HMA55 $86.73; 200DMA $93.11.
EVIDENCE FOR
• Revenue changed +10.2% year over year in the latest comparable period.
• Net income changed +12.2% year over year, confirming the quality of the latest revenue trend.
• Forward P/E of 24.4x is below trailing P/E of 28.2x, implying expected earnings improvement.
• Gross profit was 2,347,211,000 in Q1 2026, +10.6% year over year.
• Operating income was 841,608,000 in Q1 2026, +13.5% year over year.
• Official operating disclosure: We remain committed to taking market share by providing unsurpassed levels of service to our customers, supported by best-in-class parts
availability.” Sales for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, increased $367 million, or 8%, to $4.89 billion from $4.53 billion for the same period one year ago.
• Official operating disclosure: We look forward to the opportunities we have to grow our market share in 2026 and are encouraged by the stable demand backdrop in our
industry.” Sales for the first quarter of 2026 increased $424 million, or 10%, to $4.56 billion from $4.14 billion for the same period one year ago.
EVIDENCE AGAINST
• Price is above one of the three HMA21, HMA55 and 200DMA trend references.
BOTTOM LINE
The evidence is mixed rather than one-directional.
Official operating disclosure: We remain committed to taking market share by providing unsurpassed levels of service to our customers, supported by best-in-class parts availability.” Sales for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, increased $367 million, or 8%, to $4.89 billion from $4.53 billion for the same period one year ago.
A key counterpoint: Price is above one of the three HMA21, HMA55 and 200DMA trend references. The thesis should be updated only when the measurable watch conditions change.
WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE VIEW
• Check whether the next filing confirms the direction of inventory after Q1 2026 period end.
• Check whether the next filing confirms the direction of gross profit after Q1 2026.
• A daily close below the nearest support cluster around $88.17 would weaken the price structure.
• A sustained reclaim of the nearest overhead trend reference around $89.81 would be an initial stabilization signal.
PUBLIC SOURCES
• ORLY latest comparable SEC filing (2026-05-08): https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000898173.json
• O Reilly Automotive Inc filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release (2026-07-29):
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/898173/000089817326000042/orly-20260729xex99d1.htm
• O Reilly Automotive Inc filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release (2026-04-29):
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/898173/000089817326000024/orly-20260429xex99d1.htm
• O Reilly Automotive Inc filed a 10-Q with the SEC (2026-05-08): https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/898173/000089817326000027/0000898173-26-000027-index.htm
#Stocks #Fundamentals #TechnicalAnalysis #ORLY
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Full text
ORLY latest comparable SEC filing
Revenue YoY=10.239854539266373; net income YoY=12.200154136141212; EPS YoY=16.129032258064512
Revenue YoY=10.239854539266373; net income YoY=12.200154136141212; EPS YoY=16.129032258064512
ORLY valuation snapshot
trailing_pe=28.242855; forward_pe=24.396362; enterprise_to_ebitda=19.336; price_to_sales=3.909541
trailing_pe=28.242855; forward_pe=24.396362; enterprise_to_ebitda=19.336; price_to_sales=3.909541
ORLY Revenue
CY2026Q1: 4560539000.0; YoY=10.239854539266373
CY2026Q1: 4560539000.0; YoY=10.239854539266373
ORLY Net income
CY2026Q1: 604181000.0; YoY=12.200154136141212
CY2026Q1: 604181000.0; YoY=12.200154136141212
ORLY Diluted EPS
CY2026Q1: 0.72; YoY=16.129032258064512
CY2026Q1: 0.72; YoY=16.129032258064512
ORLY Inventory
CY2026Q1I: 5810121000.0; YoY=12.32852373620476
CY2026Q1I: 5810121000.0; YoY=12.32852373620476
ORLY Gross profit
CY2026Q1: 2347211000.0; YoY=10.639999811452828
CY2026Q1: 2347211000.0; YoY=10.639999811452828
ORLY Operating income
CY2026Q1: 841608000.0; YoY=13.505946327950305
CY2026Q1: 841608000.0; YoY=13.505946327950305
ORLY Current lease liability
CY2026Q1I: 445416000.0; YoY=4.722450802905978
CY2026Q1I: 445416000.0; YoY=4.722450802905978
O Reilly Automotive Inc filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release
EX-99.1 2 orly-20260729xex99d1.htm EX-99.1 Exhibit 99.1 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE O’REILLY AUTOMOTIVE, INC. REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTS ● Second quarter comparable store sales growth of 6.0% ● 10% increase in second quarter diluted earnings per share to $0.86 ● $2.4 billion of share repurchases and $2.0 billion net cash provided by operating activities year-to-date Springfield, MO, July 29, 2026 – O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. (the “Company” or “O’Reilly”) (Nasdaq: ORLY), a leading retailer in the automotive aftermarket industry, today announced record revenue and earnings for its second quarter ended June 30, 2026. 2nd Quarter Financial Results Brad Beckham, O’Reilly’s CEO, commented, “I would like to thank all of Team O’Reilly for their tremendous hard work and unwavering commitment to taking care of our customers each and every day. We are very pleased to report another quarter of strong performance, highlighted by a comparable store sales increase of 6.0% and a 10% increase in diluted earnings per share. Our Team continues to consistently execute our proven dual market strategy at a high level and delivered solid growth in both professional and DIY during the quarter. W
EX-99.1 2 orly-20260729xex99d1.htm EX-99.1 Exhibit 99.1 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE O’REILLY AUTOMOTIVE, INC. REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTS ● Second quarter comparable store sales growth of 6.0% ● 10% increase in second quarter diluted earnings per share to $0.86 ● $2.4 billion of share repurchases and $2.0 billion net cash provided by operating activities year-to-date Springfield, MO, July 29, 2026 – O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. (the “Company” or “O’Reilly”) (Nasdaq: ORLY), a leading retailer in the automotive aftermarket industry, today announced record revenue and earnings for its second quarter ended June 30, 2026. 2nd Quarter Financial Results Brad Beckham, O’Reilly’s CEO, commented, “I would like to thank all of Team O’Reilly for their tremendous hard work and unwavering commitment to taking care of our customers each and every day. We are very pleased to report another quarter of strong performance, highlighted by a comparable store sales increase of 6.0% and a 10% increase in diluted earnings per share. Our Team continues to consistently execute our proven dual market strategy at a high level and delivered solid growth in both professional and DIY during the quarter. We remain committed to taking market share by providing unsurpassed levels of service to our customers, supported by best-in-class parts availability.” Sales for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, increased $367 million, or 8%, to $4.89 billion from $4.53 billion for the same period one year ago. Gross profit for the second quarter increased 8% to $2.52 billion (or 51.4% of sales) from $2.33 billion (or 51.4% of sales) for the same period one year ago. Selling, general and administrative expenses (“SG&A”) for the second quarter increased 8% to $1.53 billion (or 31.3%…
O Reilly Automotive Inc filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release
EX-99.1 2 orly-20260429xex99d1.htm EX-99.1 Exhibit 99.1 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE O’REILLY AUTOMOTIVE, INC. REPORTS FIRST QUARTER 2026 RESULTS ● First quarter comparable store sales growth of 8.1% ● 16% increase in first quarter diluted earnings per share to $0.72 ● $1 billion net cash provided by operating activities year-to-date Springfield, MO, April 29, 2026 – O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. (the “Company” or “O’Reilly”) (Nasdaq: ORLY), a leading retailer in the automotive aftermarket industry, today announced record revenue and earnings for its first quarter ended March 31, 2026. 1st Quarter Financial Results Brad Beckham, O’Reilly’s CEO, commented, “We are pleased to report a strong start to 2026, highlighted by an 8.1% increase in comparable store sales and a 16% increase in our first quarter diluted earnings per share. Team O’Reilly delivered comparable store sales results exceeding our expectations in both professional and DIY, with double-digit growth in our professional business and mid-single digit growth in DIY. Our ability to drive productivity in our business and translate robust sales growth into a 14% increase in operating profit is the direct result of our Team’s fo
EX-99.1 2 orly-20260429xex99d1.htm EX-99.1 Exhibit 99.1 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE O’REILLY AUTOMOTIVE, INC. REPORTS FIRST QUARTER 2026 RESULTS ● First quarter comparable store sales growth of 8.1% ● 16% increase in first quarter diluted earnings per share to $0.72 ● $1 billion net cash provided by operating activities year-to-date Springfield, MO, April 29, 2026 – O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. (the “Company” or “O’Reilly”) (Nasdaq: ORLY), a leading retailer in the automotive aftermarket industry, today announced record revenue and earnings for its first quarter ended March 31, 2026. 1st Quarter Financial Results Brad Beckham, O’Reilly’s CEO, commented, “We are pleased to report a strong start to 2026, highlighted by an 8.1% increase in comparable store sales and a 16% increase in our first quarter diluted earnings per share. Team O’Reilly delivered comparable store sales results exceeding our expectations in both professional and DIY, with double-digit growth in our professional business and mid-single digit growth in DIY. Our ability to drive productivity in our business and translate robust sales growth into a 14% increase in operating profit is the direct result of our Team’s focus on prudent expense management. I would like to thank all of our Team Members for their incredible hard work in the first quarter and their relentless focus on providing unsurpassed service to our customers each and every day. We look forward to the opportunities we have to grow our market share in 2026 and are encouraged by the stable demand backdrop in our industry.” Sales for the first quarter of 2026 increased $424 million, or 10%, to $4.56 billion from $4.14 billion for the same period one year ago. Gross profit for the first quarter of 2026 increased 11% to $2.3…