SMCI market-structure snapshot

$SMCI: multi-source stock research

SUPER MICRO COMPUTER, INC.

MARKET STRUCTURE

Latest close on July 31, 2026: $28.40 (+2.4% on the latest daily bar).

HMA21 / HMA55: $28.87 / $25.21. 200DMA: $32.78.

Relative volume: 0.80x the 20-day average.

Nearest support/watch zone: $28.18.

Nearest resistance/watch zone: $29.30.

Price is below the 200DMA, so the long-term trend reference is still defensive.

FUNDAMENTALS AND VALUATION

Latest comparable filing period: 2026 Q3 ending 2026-03-31; filed 2026-05-11.

Comparable growth: revenue +122.7% YoY; net income +344.4% YoY; diluted EPS +323.5% YoY.

Quality and cash conversion: net margin 4.7% (+235 bp YoY); YTD SEC free-cash-flow proxy -$7.69B (-1212.4% YoY).

Valuation snapshot: trailing P/E 14.9x; forward P/E 8.6x; EV/EBITDA 15.8x; P/S 0.5x.

Read-through:
• Net income grew faster than revenue, indicating positive earnings leverage in the comparable period.
• Diluted EPS growth lagged net-income growth, making share-count effects worth monitoring.
• Cash generation weakened versus the comparable period.

BOTTOM LINE

The technical structure is mixed, while the latest comparable period showed growth in both revenue and net income. The next confirmation must come from both price structure and the next reported operating data—not from narrative alone.

WHAT TO WATCH

• A reclaim of HMA21 near $28.87 would be the first meaningful stabilization signal.
• A close below the nearby support zone around $28.18 would weaken the setup.
• Whether the next filing confirms that revenue growth is converting into net income, EPS and cash flow.

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