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PG V3 technical snapshot

2026-08-05·stock-deep-dive-20260805-slot-03-1130-pg
$PG: evidence-based stock deep dive

PROCTER & GAMBLE CO

CORE QUESTION

Can PROCTER & GAMBLE CO sustain growth and operating leverage strongly enough to support current expectations? Sector-specific lens: Which operating disclosure would most clearly confirm or challenge the current narrative?

DATA AGE WARNING

Core SEC filing was submitted on 2026-04-24 and is 103 days old (aging).

WHAT CHANGED

• Since the 2026-07-30 shadow dossier, inventory evidence advanced from CY2026Q1I to CY2026Q2I.

OPERATING EVIDENCE

• Revenue: $21.23B in Q1 2026; +7.4% YoY.
• Net income: $3.93B in Q1 2026; +4.3% YoY.
• Diluted EPS: $1.63 in Q1 2026; +5.8% YoY.
• Operating income: $4.58B in Q1 2026; +0.4% YoY.
• Inventory: $8.17B in Q2 2026 period end; +8.2% YoY.
• Capital expenditure: $1.20B in Q3 2025; +20.8% YoY.
• [Official release 2026-04-24] Total company comparable-sales growth: 2.00% YoY.

EXPECTATIONS AND VALUATION

• trailing P/E 21.9x; forward P/E 19.6x; EV/EBITDA 15.9x; P/S 3.9x.
• Next-year Yahoo consensus snapshot for period ending 2028-06-30: EPS estimate $7.41 (22 analysts); revenue estimate $91.45B (22 analysts).

OFFICIAL COMPANY EVIDENCE

• 2026-07-29 — [SEC EXHIBIT 99.1] PROCTER & GAMBLE CO filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release; reporting basis: mixed_reconciled.
• 2026-04-24 — [SEC EXHIBIT 99.1] PROCTER & GAMBLE CO filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release; reporting basis: mixed_reconciled.
• 2026-08-04 — [SEC FILING NOTICE] PROCTER & GAMBLE CO filed a 10-K with the SEC.
• 2026-04-24 — [SEC FILING NOTICE] PROCTER & GAMBLE CO filed a 10-Q with the SEC.

MARKET STRUCTURE

• Latest price $145.19; HMA21 $145.22; HMA55 $147.55; 200DMA $148.01.

EVIDENCE FOR

• Revenue changed +7.4% year over year in the latest comparable period.
• Net income changed +4.3% year over year, confirming the quality of the latest revenue trend.
• Forward P/E of 19.6x is below trailing P/E of 21.9x, implying expected earnings improvement.
• Operating income was 4,576,000,000 in Q1 2026, +0.4% year over year.
• Official operating metric: Total company comparable-sales growth was 2.00% YoY.

EVIDENCE AGAINST

• Price is below all three HMA21, HMA55 and 200DMA trend references.

BOTTOM LINE

The evidence is mixed rather than one-directional. Official operating metric: Total company comparable-sales growth was 2.00% YoY. A key counterpoint: Price is below all three HMA21, HMA55 and 200DMA trend references. The thesis should be updated only when the measurable watch conditions change.

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE VIEW

• Check whether the next filing confirms the direction of operating income after Q1 2026.
• Check whether the next filing confirms the direction of inventory after Q2 2026 period end.
• Check whether the next official release confirms the direction of total company comparable-sales growth from the 2026-04-24 disclosure.
• A daily close below the nearest support cluster around $144.94 would weaken the price structure.
• A sustained reclaim of the nearest overhead trend reference around $145.22 would be an initial stabilization signal.

PUBLIC SOURCES

• PG latest comparable SEC filing (2026-04-24): https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000080424.json
• PROCTER & GAMBLE CO filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release (2026-07-29):
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/80424/000008042426000093/fy2526q4amj8-kexhibit991.htm
• PROCTER & GAMBLE CO filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release (2026-04-24):
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/80424/000008042426000056/fy2526q3jfm8-kexhibit991.htm
• PROCTER & GAMBLE CO filed a 10-K with the SEC (2026-08-04): https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/80424/000008042426000103/0000080424-26-000103-index.htm
• PROCTER & GAMBLE CO filed a 10-Q with the SEC (2026-04-24): https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/80424/000008042426000060/0000080424-26-000060-index.htm

#Stocks #Fundamentals #TechnicalAnalysis #PG

Charts

PG chart 1
PG chart 1

Full text

PG V3 technical snapshot

price=145.19000244140625 hma21=145.22189456163545 hma55=147.5475489709383 sma200=148.00830070495604

price=145.19000244140625 hma21=145.22189456163545 hma55=147.5475489709383 sma200=148.00830070495604

PG latest comparable SEC filing

Revenue YoY=7.377629449838189; net income YoY=4.324754576810825; EPS YoY=5.844155844155835

Revenue YoY=7.377629449838189; net income YoY=4.324754576810825; EPS YoY=5.844155844155835

PG valuation snapshot

trailing_pe=21.865211; forward_pe=19.593699; enterprise_to_ebitda=15.902; price_to_sales=3.8845212

trailing_pe=21.865211; forward_pe=19.593699; enterprise_to_ebitda=15.902; price_to_sales=3.8845212

PG Revenue

CY2026Q1: 21235000000.0; YoY=7.377629449838189

CY2026Q1: 21235000000.0; YoY=7.377629449838189

PG Net income

CY2026Q1: 3932000000.0; YoY=4.324754576810825

CY2026Q1: 3932000000.0; YoY=4.324754576810825

PG Diluted EPS

CY2026Q1: 1.63; YoY=5.844155844155835

CY2026Q1: 1.63; YoY=5.844155844155835

PG Operating income

CY2026Q1: 4576000000.0; YoY=0.39491004826678366

CY2026Q1: 4576000000.0; YoY=0.39491004826678366

PG Inventory

CY2026Q2I: 8170000000.0; YoY=8.197589723215467

CY2026Q2I: 8170000000.0; YoY=8.197589723215467

PG Capital expenditure

CY2025Q3: 1200000000.0; YoY=20.84592145015106

CY2025Q3: 1200000000.0; YoY=20.84592145015106

PROCTER & GAMBLE CO filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release

EX-99.1 2 fy2526q4amj8-kexhibit991.htm FY2526 Q4 AMJ 8-K EXHIBIT 99.1 Document News Release The Procter & Gamble Company One P&G Plaza Cincinnati, OH 45202 P&G ANNOUNCES FOURTH QUARTER AND FISCAL YEAR 2026 RESULTS Q4 ’26: Net Sales +2%; Organic Sales 0%; Diluted EPS -15%; Core EPS -3% FY ’26: Net Sales +3%; Organic Sales +1%; Diluted EPS +2%; Core EPS +1% CINCINNATI, July 29, 2026 - The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG) reported fourth quarter and fiscal year 2026 results. “Fiscal 2026 was a year of foundation building while continuing to grow sales and profit and return high levels of cash to shareowners despite a very challenging geopolitical and economic environment,” said Shailesh Jejurikar, President and Chief Executive Officer. “In fiscal 2027, we expect to deliver progress on each of these key measures despite continued volatility. We believe the best path to sustainable, balanced growth is to double down on our strategy and put the consumer first in everything we do. Stronger, integrated execution to delight consumers with superior products at a superior value. We are confident in our plans to accelerate growth from semester-to-semester, and our investments will be funded

EX-99.1 2 fy2526q4amj8-kexhibit991.htm FY2526 Q4 AMJ 8-K EXHIBIT 99.1 Document News Release The Procter & Gamble Company One P&G Plaza Cincinnati, OH 45202 P&G ANNOUNCES FOURTH QUARTER AND FISCAL YEAR 2026 RESULTS Q4 ’26: Net Sales +2%; Organic Sales 0%; Diluted EPS -15%; Core EPS -3% FY ’26: Net Sales +3%; Organic Sales +1%; Diluted EPS +2%; Core EPS +1% CINCINNATI, July 29, 2026 - The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG) reported fourth quarter and fiscal year 2026 results. “Fiscal 2026 was a year of foundation building while continuing to grow sales and profit and return high levels of cash to shareowners despite a very challenging geopolitical and economic environment,” said Shailesh Jejurikar, President and Chief Executive Officer. “In fiscal 2027, we expect to deliver progress on each of these key measures despite continued volatility. We believe the best path to sustainable, balanced growth is to double down on our strategy and put the consumer first in everything we do. Stronger, integrated execution to delight consumers with superior products at a superior value. We are confident in our plans to accelerate growth from semester-to-semester, and our investments will be funded with a strong productivity program. We are building momentum with consumers, and we are excited about the long-term opportunities ahead.” Fiscal Year ($ billions, except EPS) GAAP 2026 2025 % Change Non-GAAP* 2026 2025 % Change Net Sales $87.0 $84.3 +3% Organic Sales n/a n/a +1% Diluted EPS $6.62 $6.51 +2% Core EPS $6.89 $6.83 +1% Fourth Quarter ($ billions, except EPS) GAAP 2026 2025 % Change Non-GAAP* 2026 2025 % Change Net Sales $21.2 $20.9 +2% Organic Sales n/a n/a —% Diluted EPS $1.26 $1.48 (15)% Core EPS $1.43 $1.48 (3)% * P…

PROCTER & GAMBLE CO filed an 8-K with the SEC — Exhibit 99.1 earnings release

EX-99.1 2 fy2526q3jfm8-kexhibit991.htm FY2526 Q3 JFM 8-K EXHIBIT 99.1 Document News Release The Procter & Gamble Company One P&G Plaza Cincinnati, OH 45202 P&G ANNOUNCES FISCAL YEAR 2026 THIRD QUARTER RESULTS Net Sales +7%; Organic Sales 3% Diluted EPS $1.63, +6%; Core EPS $1.59, +3% MAINTAINS FISCAL YEAR SALES, EPS GROWTH AND CASH RETURN GUIDANCE CINCINNATI, April 24, 2026 - The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG) reported third quarter fiscal year 2026 net sales of $21.2 billion, an increase of seven percent versus the prior year. Organic sales, which excludes the impacts of foreign exchange and acquisitions and divestitures, increased three percent versus the prior year. Diluted net earnings per share were $1.63, an increase of six percent versus prior year, driven by a gain from the dissolution of the Glad joint venture business. Core earnings per share were $1.59, an increase of three percent versus prior year. Operating cash flow was $4.0 billion, and net earnings were $4.0 billion for the quarter. Adjusted free cash flow productivity was 82%. Adjusted free cash flow productivity is calculated as operating cash flow less capital spending, as a percentage of net earnings exclud

EX-99.1 2 fy2526q3jfm8-kexhibit991.htm FY2526 Q3 JFM 8-K EXHIBIT 99.1 Document News Release The Procter & Gamble Company One P&G Plaza Cincinnati, OH 45202 P&G ANNOUNCES FISCAL YEAR 2026 THIRD QUARTER RESULTS Net Sales +7%; Organic Sales 3% Diluted EPS $1.63, +6%; Core EPS $1.59, +3% MAINTAINS FISCAL YEAR SALES, EPS GROWTH AND CASH RETURN GUIDANCE CINCINNATI, April 24, 2026 - The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG) reported third quarter fiscal year 2026 net sales of $21.2 billion, an increase of seven percent versus the prior year. Organic sales, which excludes the impacts of foreign exchange and acquisitions and divestitures, increased three percent versus the prior year. Diluted net earnings per share were $1.63, an increase of six percent versus prior year, driven by a gain from the dissolution of the Glad joint venture business. Core earnings per share were $1.59, an increase of three percent versus prior year. Operating cash flow was $4.0 billion, and net earnings were $4.0 billion for the quarter. Adjusted free cash flow productivity was 82%. Adjusted free cash flow productivity is calculated as operating cash flow less capital spending, as a percentage of net earnings excluding the gain from the dissolution of the Glad joint venture business. The Company returned $3.2 billion of cash to shareowners via $2.5 billion of dividend payments and over $600 million of share repurchases. The dividend increase announced earlier this month marks the 70th consecutive year that P&G has increased its dividend and the 136th consecutive year that P&G has paid a dividend since its incorporation in 1890. Third Quarter ($ billions, except EPS) GAAP 2026 2025 % Change Non-GAAP* 2026 2025 % Change Net Sales 21.2 19.8 7% Organic Sales n/a n/a 3% Diluted…

PROCTER & GAMBLE CO filed a 10-K with the SEC

10-K filing.

10-K filing.

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