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ORCL market-structure snapshot

2026-08-09·stock-deep-dive-20260809-052002-01-orcl
$ORCL: multi-source stock research

Oracle Corporation

MARKET STRUCTURE

Latest close on August 7, 2026: $147.02 (+2.5% on the latest daily bar).

HMA21 / HMA55: $141.91 / $113.71. 200DMA: $179.31.

Relative volume: 0.60x the 20-day average.

Nearest support/watch zone: $146.43.

Nearest resistance/watch zone: $147.16.

Price is below the 200DMA, so the long-term trend reference is still defensive.

FUNDAMENTALS AND VALUATION

Latest comparable filing period: 2026 FY ending 2026-05-31; filed 2026-06-22.

Comparable growth: revenue +17.3% YoY; net income +37.3% YoY; diluted EPS +34.3% YoY.

Quality and cash conversion: net margin 25.4% (+369 bp YoY); YTD SEC free-cash-flow proxy -$23.69B (-5911.7% YoY).

Valuation snapshot: trailing P/E 25.2x; forward P/E 13.5x; EV/EBITDA 18.5x; P/S 6.3x.

Read-through:
• Net income grew faster than revenue, indicating positive earnings leverage in the comparable period.
• Cash generation weakened versus the comparable period.

RECENT INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH

• 2026-08-06 — Global Cloud Service Provider Financial Comparison: Azure and Google Cloud Stand Out on Valuation, While CoreWeave and Oracle Face Higher Risks (HSBC)

HSBC’s report compares the financial performance and valuations of major global cloud service providers, including Microsoft Azure, Amazon Web Services (AWS), Google Cloud, CoreWeave, and Oracle. Azure, AWS, and Google Cloud rank best on a risk-adjusted basis, supported by higher ROIC of 14.6%–18.9% and broader competitive advantages.

The report finds that AWS’s ROIC may be overstated because of its high proportion of short-term contracts and should therefore be interpreted with caution.

BOTTOM LINE

The technical structure is mixed, while the latest comparable period showed growth in both revenue and net income. The next confirmation must come from both price structure and the next reported operating data—not from narrative alone.

WHAT TO WATCH

• Holding above HMA21 near $141.91 would preserve the short-term structure.
• A close below the nearby support zone around $146.43 would weaken the setup.
• Whether the next filing confirms that revenue growth is converting into net income, EPS and cash flow.
• Whether the operating milestones identified in recent institutional research become measurable disclosures.

#Stocks #Fundamentals #TechnicalAnalysis #ORCL

Charts

ORCL chart 1
ORCL chart 1

Full text

ORCL market-structure snapshot

Latest close on August 7, 2026: $147.02 (+2.5% on the latest daily bar). HMA21 / HMA55: $141.91 / $113.71. 200DMA: $179.31. Relative volume: 0.60x the 20-day average.

Latest close on August 7, 2026: $147.02 (+2.5% on the latest daily bar). HMA21 / HMA55: $141.91 / $113.71. 200DMA: $179.31. Relative volume: 0.60x the 20-day average.

ORCL latest SEC/Yahoo fundamental and valuation snapshot

Latest comparable filing period: 2026 FY ending 2026-05-31; filed 2026-06-22. Comparable growth: revenue +17.3% YoY; net income +37.3% YoY; diluted EPS +34.3% YoY.

Latest comparable filing period: 2026 FY ending 2026-05-31; filed 2026-06-22.
Comparable growth: revenue +17.3% YoY; net income +37.3% YoY; diluted EPS +34.3% YoY.
Quality and cash conversion: net margin 25.4% (+369 bp YoY); YTD SEC free-cash-flow proxy -$23.69B (-5911.7% YoY).
Valuation snapshot: trailing P/E 25.2x; forward P/E 13.5x; EV/EBITDA 18.5x; P/S 6.3x.
Net income grew faster than revenue, indicating positive earnings leverage in the comparable period.
Cash generation weakened versus the comparable period.

Global Cloud Service Provider Financial Comparison: Azure and Google Cloud Stand Out on Valuation, While CoreWeave and Oracle Face Higher Risks (HSBC)

HSBC’s report compares the financial performance and valuations of major global cloud service providers, including Microsoft Azure, Amazon Web Services (AWS), Google Cloud, CoreWeave, and Oracle. Azure, AWS, and Google Cloud rank best on a risk-adjusted basis, supported by higher ROIC of 14.6%–18.9% and broader competitive advantages. The report finds that AWS’s ROIC may be overstated because of its high proportion of short-term contracts and should therefore be interpreted with caution.

HSBC’s report compares the financial performance and valuations of major global cloud service providers, including Microsoft Azure, Amazon Web Services (AWS), Google Cloud, CoreWeave, and Oracle. Azure, AWS, and Google Cloud rank best on a risk-adjusted basis, supported by higher ROIC of 14.6%–18.9% and broader competitive advantages. The report finds that AWS’s ROIC may be overstated because of its high proportion of short-term contracts and should therefore be interpreted with caution.

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