AAL market-structure snapshot

$AAL: multi-source stock research

American Airlines Group Inc.

MARKET STRUCTURE

Latest close on August 13, 2026: $15.03 (+0.6% on the latest daily bar).

HMA21 / HMA55: $15.76 / $15.22. 200DMA: $13.88.

Relative volume: 0.47x the 20-day average.

Nearest support/watch zone: $14.95.

Nearest resistance/watch zone: $15.28.

Price is above the 200DMA, so the long-term trend reference is supportive.

FUNDAMENTALS AND VALUATION

Latest comparable filing period: 2026 Q2 ending 2026-06-30; filed 2026-07-23.

Comparable growth: revenue +16.3% YoY; net income -88.1% YoY; diluted EPS -87.9% YoY.

Quality and cash conversion: net margin 0.4% (-374 bp YoY).

Valuation snapshot: forward P/E 6.1x; EV/EBITDA 11.0x; P/S 0.2x.

Read-through:
• Revenue growth did not convert into net-income growth in the comparable period.

BOTTOM LINE

The technical structure is mixed, while the latest comparable period showed revenue growth but weaker profit conversion. The next confirmation must come from both price structure and the next reported operating data—not from narrative alone.

WHAT TO WATCH

• A reclaim of HMA21 near $15.76 would be the first meaningful stabilization signal.
• A close below the nearby support zone around $14.95 would weaken the setup.
• Whether the next filing confirms that revenue growth is converting into net income, EPS and cash flow.

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